Inflation during the 2010s

 

Henry Thompson

 

 

The increasing money supply from the Federal Reserve will begin to accumulate and lead to 5% to 10% inflation over the coming decades.  Increased money supply will be the only way to pay for the growing government deficits.  The US government will not be able to borrow to cover its deficits and stay ahead of interest payments.  Taxpayer supported benefit programs, retirement, and medical care will raise government deficits. 

 

Inflation over the coming decade will solve the mortgage/debt crisis by cutting debt.  After 10 years of 10% inflation, every dollar of debt is worth only 38 cents.  The lenders and those holding dollars suffer. 

 

The recent stock market collapse was a correction to the speculative real estate bubble.  Given normal economic returns starting in the 1950s, stock prices fell back to where they should have been. 

 

Remember that stock prices like all prices will have to rise annually to keep up with inflation.  Starting at 10,000 in 2010, the DJ average will have to reach 26,000 in 2020 with 10% inflation over the decade.  With 7% inflation, the DJ will have to reach 20,000.  New “milestones” for the DJ will only keep up with inflation.