How not to Deregulate the Electric Industry

 

Henry Thompson

 

The collapse and taxpayer rescue of the California electric industry was due to half baked deregulation.  California legislators set a retail electricity price ceiling and passed environmental regulations leading to high wholesale price.  California utilities had to pay over $.25 per kilowatt hour for electricity and had to sale it for $.07.  The politicians had little background or interest in the electric industry.  Their regulatory structure led to the financial collapse of the industry and illustrates the pitfalls of government involvement in business. 

 

The lawmakers created the financial crisis and then confiscated the property of the utility company as collateral for paying the $12 billion debt created by their regulations.  The California electric industry was never deregulated and is now owned by the state government.  Taxpayers stand to pay the losses. 

 

In the 1930s US states made monopolies of electric utility companies but previously competing electric companies kept local prices low.  The electric companies grew tired of competition and local taxes, and petitioned state governments for monopoly franchises.  State politicians were happy to oblige in return for the state tax revenue.  The public service commissions regulate the monopolies, aim to make them behave like competitive firms.  The utilities are inefficient but with abundant energy sources the price of electricity has remained low.  Energy sources are now becoming scarce, energy prices are rising, and the electric industry will assume increased importance. 

 

Lawmakers and local politicians with little idea about the energy industry are in the political process of restructuring.  Retail competition allows electricity customers to choose suppliers.  Customers in high price states such as California, New York, and Florida would like to buy from other suppliers.  With retail competition, producers are also free to choose customers and prices in the low price states will rise. 

 

The push to restructure the electric industry comes from environmental regulations and increasing energy scarcity.  Coal remains the fundamental energy sources but they both cause air pollution when burned, aside from the ambiguities of global warming.  There are ample supplies of coal, still the main fuel for electricity but pollution concerns may limit coal burning or require expensive scrubbing.  Natural gas is a popular fossil fuel because it burns more cleanly.  Natural gas from the Gulf Coast comes up the expanding pipeline system to a new generation of efficient gas turbine generators.  But the pipeline system is expanding more slowly than gas demand and natural gas prices will climb steadily due to increasing demand and scarcity.  Nuclear reactors run on relatively cheap uranium fuel but the radioactive waste creates a problem.  Hydroelectricity is a reliable energy source but there is no discussion of building new dams due to environmental concerns. 

 

Be wary of proposed government solutions to the pending energy shortage.  Price controls are doomed to fail, as the gasoline price caps the oil embargoes of the 1970s.  Government officials should not offer subsidies to influence the potential energy sources.  Experienced market professionals with profits at stake will do a much better job.  The main requirement of competition is a price signal to ensure payback for research and development.  As consumers face higher prices they will economize, and prices ultimately depend on investment and supply as well as demand.